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网络侦测系统公司

US · NTCT #2501 按市值排名 上市于 1970
38.07 -0.69 -1.78%
实时 - 追踪5344个代码 - 心跳于361秒前 · 2026-10-16 19:30

✦ 量化合理价值 计算方式说明

接近合理价值
0.47 合理价值 ≈ 33.67 66.88
  • 基于该股自身过去5年平均市盈率乘以滚动每股收益,推算出的合理价值区间为0.47-66.88。
  • 当前价格比按平均倍数计算的合理价值(33.67)高13.1%。

估值 各估值倍数与自身5年区间的对比

市净率 1.79 高于历史水平 第98百分位
5年平均 1.13 · 在Software - Infrastructure中排名第46/155
市盈率 24.99 处于历史正常水平 第50百分位
5年平均 25.90 · 前瞻 28.59 · 在Software - Infrastructure中排名第42/83
市销率 3.37 高于历史水平 第96百分位
5年平均 2.34 · 前瞻 3.31 · 在Software - Infrastructure中排名第86/174

同业对比 Software - Infrastructure

公司 市值 市盈率(TTM) 市净率 股息率
网络侦测系统公司 (NTCT) 2.77B 23.21 1.66 0.00%
Microsoft (MSFT) 3.93T 29.47 8.88 0.67%
Palantir (PLTR) 447.04B 159.00 45.74 0.00%
Oracle (ORCL) 387.73B 20.10 6.27 1.56%
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) 279.76B 855.00 10.18 0.00%
CrowdStrike (CRWD) 232.83B 5,983.95 45.64 0.00%

StockVane 追踪范围内同行业的其他公司。

Morningstar

★★★☆☆ 合理价值37.60 经济护城河Narrow 不确定性High

当前股价高于晨星合理价值估算1.2%。

合理价值

NetScout Systems Inc earns a 3-star quantitative star rating, illustrating our stance that this share class is a balanced choice, but prudent investors should consider looking elsewhere. The stock currently trades at a 10% premium over our quantitative fair value estimate of $37.60 per share; however, this estimate should be taken with a pinch of salt due to its high uncertainty rating.

The firm's unfavorable dividend structure weakens our quantitative valuation. Dividends represent a stable form of future cash flows returned to shareholders, and low dividend payments can increase the perceived risk of a business. Reflecting the firm's dividends is its forward dividend yield of 0%, which ranks in the bottom 30% globally. This could imply a planned dividend cut or relatively high share price, which contributes to our view that shares are expensive.

Conversely, the firm's profitability is reassuring. Highly profitable companies are often more resilient in recessions and are likely to generate stronger future cash flows for shareholders. The firm's enterprise value to free cash flow ratio of 11.2, a core component of profitability, ranks in the bottom 20% globally. This can be a sign of operational efficiency and potential for the company to fund growth, pay dividends, or reduce debt without needing additional capital. Despite our unfavorable price/fair value ratio, this characteristic is a positive attribute.

In addition to the aforementioned drivers, our model considers momentum as part of its comprehensive analysis. This share class has outperformed the broader universe over the past year. This outperformance may signify a bull trap, in light of other detractors from our model.

经济护城河

The narrow moat rating for this company indicates investors can expect it to generate 10 years or more of excess returns on capital due to its respectable competitive advantages. Its moat is bolstered by its strong financial health, which indicates low near-term bankruptcy risk.

作者:Quantitative Equity Report

报价时间 2026-10-16 19:30:04 · 仅供参考,不构成投资建议,也未考虑您的具体情况。

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