Sabesp

Companhia De Saneamento Basico Do Estado De Sao Paulo receives a 3-star quantitative star rating, illustrating our stance that this share class is a balanced choice, but prudent investors should consider looking elsewhere. The stock currently trades at a 5% discount to our quantitative fair value estimate of $5.59 per share; however, caution is warranted due to this estimate's high uncertainty rating.

The firm's valuation metrics increase our estimated fair value. A company's valuation metrics provide insights into the market's expectations for its future growth and profitability. For example, the firm's enterprise value to EBITDA ratio of 8.0 lies in the bottom 30% compared with global peers. Relative to the company's EBITDA, the enterprise value of the business is low, which contributes to our view that shares are cheap.

The firm's profitability is an additional encouraging factor. Highly profitable companies are often more resilient in recessions and are likely to generate stronger future cash flows for shareholders. The firm's earnings yield of 7.6%, for example, ranks in the top 30% compared with peers globally. This suggests that it is generating substantial earnings relative to its share price, which further promotes our favorable price/fair value ratio.

In addition to the aforementioned drivers, our model considers momentum as part of its comprehensive analysis. This share class has outperformed the broader universe over the past year. While we believe the stock is undervalued, this outperformance had a negative impact on our valuation estimate.

The company's narrow quantitative moat rating indicates it could outearn its cost of capital and maintain robust margins for 10 years or longer. In addition, the company's moderate financial health score is decent and doesn't seriously concern us with regard to financial distress.