Arcosa

Arcosa Inc is assigned a 3-star quantitative star rating, reflecting our opinion that this share class is a balanced choice, but prudent investors should consider looking elsewhere. The stock currently trades at a minor 2% discount to our quantitative fair value estimate of $150.49 per share; however, some caution is warranted due to this estimate's medium uncertainty rating.

The firm's balance sheet strengthens our estimated valuation. Low leverage mitigates financial risk, potentially boosting a firm's value. For example, the firm's current ratio of 3.1 sits in the top 30% compared with global peers. We have little concern about this company's ability to cover near-term obligations, thanks to its relatively high current ratio; this could be a compelling signal during times of distress, which contributes to our view that shares are undervalued.

On a different note, the company's valuation metrics are potentially concerning. A company's valuation metrics provide insights into the market's expectations for its future growth and profitability. The firm's enterprise value to market value ratio of 1.1, a core component of valuation, lies in the top 45% compared with global peers. The market value of equity is low relative to the business' enterprise value, suggesting the company could be buried in debt if anything goes wrong. Despite our favorable price/fair value ratio, this characteristic is a negative attribute.

In addition to the aforementioned drivers, our model considers momentum as part of its comprehensive analysis. This share class has outperformed the broader universe over the past year. While we believe the stock is undervalued, this outperformance had a negative impact on our valuation estimate.

The company's narrow quantitative moat rating indicates it could outearn its cost of capital and maintain robust margins for 10 years or longer. In addition, the company's moderate financial health score is decent and doesn't seriously concern us with regard to financial distress.