Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd is assigned a 4-star quantitative star rating, illustrating our stance that this share class offers a somewhat attractive opportunity for investors. The stock currently trades at a 18% discount to our quantitative fair value estimate of $84.35 per share; however, some caution is warranted due to this estimate's medium uncertainty rating.

The company's valuation metrics bolster our estimated fair value. A company's valuation metrics provide insights into the market's expectations for its future growth and profitability. For example, the firm's book value yield of 184.3% ranks in the top 20% compared with peers globally. The market price is low relative to the book (accounting) value of the company's equity, which contributes to our view that shares are cheap.

The company's profitability is an additional encouraging factor. Highly profitable companies are often more resilient in recessions and are likely to generate stronger future cash flows for shareholders. The firm's earnings yield of 11.0%, a core component of profitability, ranks in the top 20% globally. This suggests that it is generating substantial earnings relative to its share price, which further promotes our favorable price/fair value ratio.

With its quantitative economic moat rating of none, this business is unlikely to consistently outearn its cost of capital without structural protection from competition. Additionally, the firm's moderate financial health score suggests it is acceptably positioned against adverse economic circumstances.