Antero Midstream

Antero Midstream Corp earns a 3-star quantitative star rating, illustrating our stance that this share class is a balanced choice, but prudent investors should consider looking elsewhere. The stock currently trades at a 5% discount to our quantitative fair value estimate of $21.54 per share; however, some caution is warranted due to this estimate's medium uncertainty rating.

The company's profitability bolsters our estimated valuation. Highly profitable companies are often more resilient in recessions and are likely to generate stronger future cash flows for shareholders. Reflecting the firm's profitability is its EBIT margin of 65.3%, which lies in the top 10% compared with peers globally. This company's ability to turn revenue into cash flow is bolstered by its solid EBIT margin, which is wider than peers. We believe this is a sign that shares could be cheap.

The firm's favorable dividend structure is an additional encouraging factor. Dividends represent a stable form of future cash flows returned to shareholders, reducing the perceived risk of a business. The firm's forward dividend yield of 4.4%, for example, lies in the top 20% globally. Expected dividend payments over the coming year relative to the current share price are favorable, which further promotes our favorable price/fair value ratio.

In addition to the aforementioned drivers, our model considers momentum as part of its comprehensive analysis. This share class has outperformed the broader universe over the past year. While we believe the stock is undervalued, this outperformance had a negative impact on our valuation estimate.

The company's narrow economic moat rating suggests it should be able to maintain robust profitability for a decade or longer before competition erodes its advantage. Its moat is bolstered by its strong financial health, which indicates low near-term bankruptcy risk.