LYNTRIS INC

Lyntris Inc earns a 3-star quantitative star rating, reflecting our opinion that this share class is a balanced choice, but prudent investors should consider looking elsewhere. The stock currently trades at a 6% premium over our quantitative fair value estimate of $12.56 per share; however, this estimate should be taken with a pinch of salt due to its very high uncertainty rating.

The firm's valuation metrics weaken our fair value estimate. A company's valuation metrics provide insights into the market's expectations for its future growth and profitability. For example, the firm's enterprise value to EBITDA ratio of 23.5 ranks in the top 30% globally. This suggests that the value of its enterprise value, or the value of its shares and debt, is a high multiple of the generated EBITDA. We believe this is a sign that shares could be overvalued.

The company's lack of profitability is an additional cause for concern. Companies with low profitability are often less resilient in recessions and are likely to generate weaker future cash flows for shareholders. The firm's earnings yield of 1.3%, a core component of profitability, falls in the bottom 40% compared with global peers. The earnings generated by the company relative to its share price is concerning, which further promotes our unfavorable price/fair value ratio.

The company's narrow economic moat rating suggests it should be able to maintain robust profitability for a decade or longer before competition erodes its advantage.