Amalgamated Bank

Amalgamated Financial Corp is assigned a 3-star quantitative star rating, reflecting our opinion that this share class is a balanced choice, but prudent investors should consider looking elsewhere. The stock currently trades at a 10% premium over our quantitative fair value estimate of $43.21 per share; however, this estimate should be taken with a pinch of salt due to its high uncertainty rating.

The company's lack of profitability decreases our estimated fair value. Companies with low profitability are often less resilient in recessions and are likely to generate weaker future cash flows for shareholders. Reflecting the firm's profitability is its sales yield of 24.7%, which ranks in the bottom 30% globally. This company's inability to generate significant sales growth without meaningful capital investment is a challenge, which contributes to our view that shares are expensive.

The company's valuation metrics are an additional cause for concern. A company's valuation metrics provide insights into the market's expectations for its future growth and profitability. The firm's enterprise value to market value ratio of 0.9, for example, sits in the bottom 40% compared with peers globally. The market value of equity makes up a large fraction of enterprise value, indicating that shares have sharply risen, or that the company has a "lazy" balance sheet that is underleveraged. This characteristic further promotes our unfavorable price/fair value ratio.

In addition to the aforementioned drivers, our model considers momentum as part of its comprehensive analysis. This share class has outperformed the broader universe over the past year. This outperformance may signify a bull trap, in light of other detractors from our model.

The company's quantitative economic moat rating of none suggests any excess returns could erode quickly as competition arrives. However, its financial health score is strong, suggesting that the company should be well positioned to weather tough times.