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Progressive

US · PGR #161 by market cap Listed 1970
217.46 +3.71 +1.74%
Live - 5344 symbols - heartbeat 302s ago · 2026-10-16 10:10

Analyst consensus 19 analysts

Buy
Avg price target 231.50 +6.5%
Price target rangecurrent 217.46
Low201.00
Avg231.50
High261.00
Buy 42% Hold 53% Sell 5%
Recent ratings (25)
DateFirmAnalystRatingTarget
2026-10-08 KBW -- Buy --
2026-10-07 HSBC -- Hold 216.00
2026-10-07 Barclays -- Buy 247.00
2026-10-05 J.P. Morgan -- Hold 250.00
2026-10-01 BofA Securities -- Buy --
2026-10-01 Morgan Stanley -- Hold 210.00
2026-09-24 BofA Securities -- Buy --
2026-09-21 Evercore -- Hold 230.00
2026-09-21 Roth MKM -- Buy 245.00
2026-09-21 Barclays -- Buy 246.00
2026-09-21 KBW -- Buy 250.00
2026-09-18 Wells Fargo -- Sell 201.00
2026-09-18 William Blair -- Hold --
2026-09-18 BofA Securities -- Buy 302.00
2026-09-18 BMO Capital -- Hold 221.00
2026-09-18 Goldman Sachs -- Buy 233.00
2026-09-18 KBW -- Buy 250.00
2026-09-15 Mizuho Securities -- Hold 230.00
2026-08-27 UBS -- Hold 234.00
2026-08-24 Raymond James -- Buy --
2026-08-20 Wells Fargo -- Sell 201.00
2026-08-20 Roth MKM -- Buy 245.00
2026-08-20 Barclays -- Buy 246.00
2026-08-20 KBW -- Buy 250.00
2026-08-19 Wells Fargo -- Sell 201.00

Quant vs Street three independent views, side by side

Momentum strategy signal
Sell
Analyst consensus
Buy

Signals diverge - worth digging into why.

Not investment advice. The factor grade ranks this stock on fundamentals against StockVane's covered universe; the momentum strategy signal is a rules-based backtest, not a recommendation; analyst consensus reflects sell-side coverage. The three use different methods and can reasonably disagree.

Price target trend monthly average, last 3 years

✦ Quant Analyst Revision Trend how this is computed

Deteriorating
4 6
■ Upgrades■ Downgrades
  • 4 upgrades vs 6 downgrades among tracked analyst rating changes.
  • The single most recent change was actually an upgrade (KBW moved from Hold to Buy on 2026-08-19), though the broader window skews toward downgrades.

Recent rating changes

DateFirmChangeTarget
2026-08-19 KBW Hold → Buy 250.00
2026-07-24 Morgan Stanley Sell → Hold 210.00
2026-07-14 J.P. Morgan Buy → Hold 250.00
2026-06-29 Wells Fargo Hold → Sell 205.00
2026-01-16 HSBC Buy → Hold 224.00
2026-01-08 Barclays Hold → Buy 265.00
2025-12-18 William Blair Buy → Hold --
2025-11-14 Jefferies Buy → Hold 232.00
2025-10-20 Morgan Stanley Hold → Sell 214.00
2025-09-18 Roth MKM Hold → Buy 290.00

Earnings history price reaction on the day

PeriodReport dateSessionOptions expectedActual move
2026/Q2 2026-08-04 -- ±2.21% +0.14% (in line)
2026/Q1 2026-05-04 -- ±2.08% -0.04% (in line)
2025/Q4 2026-02-18 -- ±2.47% -2.22% (in line)
2025/Q3 2025-10-15 -- ±3.35% -5.78% (beat)
2025/Q2 2025-07-16 -- ±3.91% +1.76% (in line)
2025/Q1 2025-05-05 -- ±2.49% -0.23% (in line)
2024/Q4 2025-01-29 -- ±4.87% +0.55% (in line)
2024/Q3 2024-11-05 -- ±3.13% +2.73% (in line)
2024/Q2 2024-07-16 -- ±5.62% -3.27% (in line)
2024/Q1 2024-05-06 -- ±3.69% +3.25% (in line)
2023/Q4 2024-01-24 -- ±6.13% +4.72% (in line)
2023/Q3 2023-10-13 -- ±4.89% +8.13% (beat)

"Options expected" is the pre-earnings options market's implied move (a straddle-style estimate), shown next to what actually happened.

Quote time 2026-10-16 10:10:06 · For reference only, not investment advice and not tailored to your situation.

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