SpaceX

Space Exploration Technologies Corp receives a 2-star quantitative star rating, reflecting our opinion that this share class is a somewhat unattractive choice, and investors should look elsewhere for more fruitful opportunities. The stock currently trades at a 133% premium over our quantitative fair value estimate of $73.48 per share; however, this estimate should be taken with a pinch of salt due to its extreme uncertainty rating.

The company's valuation metrics weaken our fair value estimate. A company's valuation metrics provide insights into the market's expectations for its future growth and profitability. Reflecting the firm's valuation is its enterprise value to EBITDA ratio of 252.5, which falls in the top 10% compared with global peers. This suggests that the value of its enterprise value, or the value of its shares and debt, is a high multiple of the generated EBITDA. We believe this is a sign that shares could be overvalued.

The firm's lack of profitability is an additional cause for concern. Companies with low profitability are often less resilient in recessions and are likely to generate weaker future cash flows for shareholders. The firm's sales yield of 1.4%, a core component of profitability, sits in the bottom 10% compared with peers globally. This company's inability to generate significant sales growth without meaningful capital investment is a challenge, which further promotes our unfavorable price/fair value ratio.

The narrow moat rating for this company indicates investors can expect it to generate 10 years or more of excess returns on capital due to its respectable competitive advantages.