Real-time reactions to earnings, macro events and market moves — what actually happened, what the numbers show, and what we’re doing about it in our own positions. Not price predictions, a working read on the stocks and events moving the market this week.
Progressive’s regular dividend is ten cents a quarter, a 0.19% yield, yet the quote page shows 6.51%. The gap is an annual variable payment tied to earnings. Here is what it could look like next…
Gilead’s trailing P/E is negative because one quarter carried $12.9 billion of special charges, while operating profit stayed positive. At about $150, here is what the stock is priced for, the HIV concentration, and the…
Wells Fargo trades at 1.63 times book against 1.9 for its industry, a gap worth about $44 billion. But it is at the top of its own five-year range. Here is what closing it would…
Micron’s latest quarter earned $28.2 billion on $41.5 billion of sales, a 68% net margin. At about $1,016 and 23 times trailing earnings it looks cheap, but only if that margin lasts. Here is a…
Disney revenue grew 7% last quarter while net income fell 52%, and the D quant grade sits beside a 95% buy consensus. Here is what streaming, ESPN and the parks explain about that gap, and…
UPS paid $5.4 billion in dividends in 2025 against $4.8 billion of free cash flow and borrowed to cover the gap. At a 6.6% yield the payout is covered by adjusted earnings, not by cash.…
Amgen trades 14% below its high at 24 times earnings, under its own average, with a 2.5% dividend yield. Here is what the multiple asks you to believe, how much cash covers the payout, and…
Mastercard’s momentum grade fell from C to D in one day while the stock rose, and Visa did the same. The business still grows 14%, but growth has slowed three quarters running and the multiple…
Broadcom’s revenue jumped 86% last quarter and analysts rate it a buy almost unanimously, yet StockVane’s quant model grades it a D. At about 40 times run-rate earnings, here is what each side is measuring…
Boeing’s 71 times P/E rests on 2025 net income that came from selling a business, not building planes. The operating line lost $5.4 billion. Here is how the profit was made, why the ratio fails,…